Before we start, it is worth emphasizing that although the examples used here are options the lessons are VITAL to all trading vehicles. After posting an ROI of 253% Hawkeye Options directional portfolio (Barracuda), my inbox was brimming with questions regard how this was possible in ONLY 8 MONTHS. For this week’s newsletter, I was
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13
Jun, 2014
6
Jun, 2014
The following information arrived on my desk from a well respected source: “Gold and silver turned in another poor monthly performance with losses of 4.5% and 4% respectively. Investors are wary of getting long the metals thanks to strong US economic data and lack of inflation. However, it’s important to point out that both metals
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28
May, 2014
The Hawkeye Adds is a fabulous cash machine. It tells you visually when and where to add additional contracts, once you are in a trending market. Chart 1 – S&P Emini (3144 Ticks) Fast Chart There was a powerful downtrend on Tuesday 5/20/14. You can see it on both the fast chart above and the
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16
May, 2014
This week I want to show you how copper is demonstrating that the world is coming out of recession and how this vital component in all building, electrical and industrial production is being bought. Chart 1 – Copper Weekly Chart Since March 21, copper has been in accumulation mode. You can see 8 weeks of
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The overall market looks to be at a decision point lately. This can make for some large swings and potential false breakouts. Wait for clear signals from Hawkeye before making your move. Chart 1 – S&P 500 Emini (ES) Daily The index future (ES) is still in distribution volume mode with up price moves on
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This week Mike Smith reports direct from the Hawkeye Options desk. Here we go again – out from the woodwork they come… Its earnings season and so out pop the latest plethora of NEW; INNOVATIVE; EASY; PROVEN etc. etc. headlines about a strategy that has been around as long as options have been in existence.
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I want to show you how to use Hawkeye Pivots to manage congestion. The power of Hawkeye pivots and phantom pivots are shown here on the Emini. Chart – Emini Daily The cyan arrow is where I sent out a danger call on the Emini as there is no demand volume (white volume bar). This
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I keep telling you, trading is just like hunting – patience is required for the perfect shot. Lets take a look at what this means on the AUDUSD. Ready, aim, trade! Chart – AUDUSD The unique Hawkeye GearBox has given tick speeds of 640, 320, and 160 for today (Tuesday). GearBox is yellow telling us
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Traders, I must try and enthuse you to use Hawkeye’s GearBox and GearChanger, part of the Hawkeye Gear Module. It’s a pivotal moment in your trading career that will change how you perceive charts for ever. It produces an optimized tick speed based on current volatility and the expansion of volume. Introduction Hawkeye GearBox and
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Apple, the most highly held stock in the USA, is great to swing trade. Let Hawkeye teach you how to swing trade the $AAPL. Chart 1 – Apple 60-Minute Chart This 60 minute chart shows that the market has entered congestion and the unique Hawkeye Volume indicator is showing accumulation volume (as indicated by the
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To trade the US Dollar, you need to know this. Last week Hawkeye showed no-demand volume, the first sign of distribution in an uptrend. Since then the market price profile has confirmed this setup with a trend pause and no-demand volume. This is a classic set up working through. Today let’s looks at how low
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Last week, we showed how Hawkeye GearBox identified the optimal tick speed to use on Emini futures. Today, let’s look at how Hawkeye signals that danger is in the air. Be very, very careful! Chart 1 – Weekly Emini This weekly Emini chart illustrates just how Hawkeye called the market beautifully off the weekly volume
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Last week, we showed how Hawkeye Volume identifies volume accumulation prior to the explosive breakouts in sugar and coffee. Today, let’s look at how Hawkeye GearBox and gives you the correct tick speed to trade with every day. We will show you how using the Emini futures market as an example. From Chart 1 below,
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Over the previous weeks, Hawkeye has identified great trading opportunities in Stocks, Forex, Futures and Commodities. Today, we want to look specifically at the Coffee and Sugar futures markets, with a particular focus on how Hawkeye Volume shows identifies volume accumulation prior to the explosive breakouts in both of these markets. From Chart 1 below,
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Over the previous weeks, we have produced information that identifies great trading opportunities in Stocks, Forex, Futures and Commodities. Today, we want to look specifically at the Sugar (SB) futures market, with a particular focus on how Hawkeye Volume and Trend shows the end of a trend run, but not necessarily a new entry. Chart
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The markets are correcting and the Dow is in daily and weekly downtrends. The ES is also in a daily downtrend but the weekly charts show congestion. Weak stocks are tumbling. This is the time for stocks that are strong, as they will probably get stronger when the market returns to an uptrend. Lets look
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The Dow (YM) is a classic example of selling distribution volume. Chart 1 Daily This shows 10 days of selling volume occurring at the top of the uptrend (indicated by the red arrows), with the Hawkeye trend going white indicating no momentum. Chart 2 Weekly This shows three weeks of neutral volume (indicated by
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The dollar index is showing volume accumulation and prices should start to rise testing 81.72 again. Chart 1: Daily The cyan arrows show attendant volume coming into the market. All Hawkeye indicators are in up trend mode. Chart 2 Weekly Weekly volume gone from neutral to positive after low volume, again confirming accumulation (cyan arrow).
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The silver market has fallen over 30 dollars since the high of 50 dollars and has been making lower highs and lower lows since May of 2011. However the weekly ranges have been getting smaller and smaller. There is now attendant volume i.e. accumulation volume on the daily chart (see cyan arrow) and also on
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I really want you to look closely at this 5 minute $USDJPY chart. $USDJPY 5 Minute Chart Looking at the Hawkeye Fatman, the colored spaghetti on the left-hand side of the chart, each colored line represents a single currency… the first cyan arrow is showing that the cyan line (USD) has started to rise. The
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Sugar (SB) is starting to show signs of strength. Last Friday’s volume was the highest volume since June of this year. When you get this strong volume on large up-moves, it is a very positive sign of strength, and could well be the commencement of an uptrend. But, you have to be patient. Looking the
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Here is a great tip for those scalping Forex: Trading dual timeframes is the key to ensuring low risk entries. In this chart Roadkill is set to ´aggressive´ and is calculating both 5-minute and 10-minute timeframes. At Point 1 on this chart you can see that the Hawkeye Trend, represented by the cyan dot on the
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The party is unwinding on low interest rates so get ready for inflation. Who knows when, but it’s in the pipeline — it’s just a matter of time, so lock in these low rates asap. On the daily chart The cyan arrow shows a double bottom (yellow Hawkeye pivot dots on the price) which indicates
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Copper futures traded at the highest level since June on Monday and are now showing classic accumulation getting ready for an upward breakout. Let’s look at the charts: Weekly Chart At point 1 there is a wide bar down shown in magenta on the price indicating above average volume shown as the yellow dot on
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I often get questions on how to interpret Hawkeye Pivots (the yellow dots on the price bar). As a general rule, when you see a pivot, it suggests the market has reached a temporary peak/low, which means that for the next three, five or seven bars it is likely to go against its trend or
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The crude oil market ($CL_F) has been rather volatile lately, with the past few weeks showing signs of strength in the overall economy. The stock indices have pushed into higher price areas pulling crude right along with them. It’s nice to see some of the commodities coming out of the “dog house”, after having been
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This week’s example is the coffee commodity which has has been in a downtrend since October of last year. In the weekly Chart 1, there was a wide bar shown in magenta and four weeks of tight ranging bars (cyan arrow) unable to break under the dotted line of support. In the daily Chart 2,
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A key factor in successful trades is finding those with the lowest risk entry. In the Japanese yen example below, I have shortened the timeframe, as I understand a lot of users use these timeframes particularly for Forex and intraday trading. The cyan arrow on all three charts shows that the volume has changed to
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Some weeks ago, Hawkeye alerted you to the fact that although all the pundits were talking gold up, the Hawkeye Volume algorithm was showing weakness. Let’s look at the charts. Chart 1 Weekly Gold Hawkeye has been short since last November at $1,684 (see red arrow above). Chart 2 Daily Gold The three red arrows
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Just as you can extract oil from soybeans, you can extract money from the market trading soybean futures. Soybean futures have had a large price move to the upside over the past two weeks. The price is currently just below strong resistance at 1350 and is displaying classic congestion. (See the yellow dotted lines). There
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The Free Hawkeye Live Training Room is held every Thursday from 8am – 11am US EST. We have an archive of past Training Room recordings available in case you wish to view them offline with some fresh popcorn and your iPad. Please use the following link to view the video. All future presentations will be
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The volume on the Japanese Yen futures contract (JY) last week was the highest weekly volume in over six years. The last time the market had volume anywhere near this size, a significant rally that lasted over five years resulted. This could be a sign of major institutional involvement, with major hedge funds making moves
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Trade of the Week In this week’s example I have turned the stops off and made the trend dots white. I am using the tick values generated by the Hawkeye GearBox, a unique tool that gives you the correct tick speeds to trade every day. I can now see how the market is trading using
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Trade of the Week Although the monthly and weekly are just showing trend entry to the upside, the daily chart below shows a trend congestion entrance. Why? Because the live trend dot has gone flat (red arrow) and the close was under the current bars open and the trend dot. So what do we do
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Less than three months after it hit $800, Google ($GOOG) topped $900, and is now on the brink of becoming the first tech stock to hit $1,000 a share. And with a slew of product launches in the works, the company’s reputation is getting a boost as well. Though we’re not ready for the risk
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If you’re fueled by high expectations of Apple stock, Hawkeye is here to deflate the Apple-hype balloon. While the iPhone maker has seldom reported negative figures in a decade, this week, Apple revealed typical congestion and a pause in downtrend. For there to be a new weekly uptrend, the stock would have to break above
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Emini showing first sign of congestion breakout on Hawkeye charts to upside when price closes above cyan arrow. Good trading, Hawkeye
Do you stay with your profitable trades as long as possible hoping for the trend to continue to make your profits even larger? Do you tense up when you have to exit a profitable trade? Here are three exit strategies to help you exit your trades with ease: Stops (waiting till the Hawkeye stop is
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This week I want to review the basic setup I used for our trade of the week. Looking at the intraday ES market, we begin with the Hawkeye Gearbox – a unique indicator exclusive to Hawkeye Traders. Every trading day, the Gearbox calculates and gives us the exact tick speed to trade the market… so
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With the crisis in Cyprus unfolding, every pundit and novice commentator was calling gold to new highs. However, the Hawkeye system was in opposition, as the only true leading indicator — volume — did not confirm. The Hawkeye Volume indicator was built on Volume Spread Analysis, and is quite complex… but we made the display very simple
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The Hawkeye Live Training Room is held every Thursday from 8am – 11am EST. We have an archive of past Training Room recordings available in case you wish to view them offline with some fresh popcorn and your iPad. Please use the following link to view the video. All future presentations will be posted in
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With the US markets closed today for the annual Thanksgiving holiday, focus in the currency markets has centered around the Japanese Yen once again, as money flows continue to move into other currencies ahead of the Japanese elections in December. Both the USD/JPY and several of the cross currency pairs have seen sharp moves higher,
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January oil futures closed marginally higher yesterday, closing the oil trading session at $87.38 per barrel, having touched an intraday high of $87.89 per barrel, before ending the oil trading session just 10 cents per barrel higher. The current lack of direction for crude oil has been a feature of many markets over the last
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The price consolidation that has been a feature of gold, has also been reflected in the silver market, with silver futures trading in a narrow range, testing $26 per ounce to the downside and $28.50 to the upside, and developing a strong area of price congestion as a result. Both these levels have been clearly
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The daily soybean chart has been in a strong bullish uptrend since the breakout of late June and indeed has been one of our star performers in the soft commodities sector.The initial breakout on the daily soybean chart was first signaled by Hawkeye back in mid June and following a period of sideways consolidation finally
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Duke energy shares continued to move lower on Friday, closing the US trading session at $64.78, and adding further pressure to the move lower. The sell off in the stock was given additional momentum following the news that one of Duke Energies subsidiary companies in Florida, Progress Energy Florida, has recently filed requests to reduce
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Despite the recent bullish momentum in equity markets in general, Citigroup shares have remained relatively flat over the last few weeks, and closed Friday’s US trading session at $29.71 having traded in a narrow range for much of the day. The price is now consolidating into a pennant formation on the daily chart, with the
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Alongside the USD index, the VIX is another of those powerful indices, which gives clear signals of the broad market sentiment which ebbs and flows on a daily basis. The VIX is often referred to as the fear index, as it displays the market mood and whether market players are in ‘risk on’, or ‘risk
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Like many of the major equity markets around the world, the mini Dow index has now reached a critical level, with the daily September contract closing at 13,079 ahead of the 3 day weekend with markets closed on Monday for the US labor day. Since March, the index has flirted with the 13,200 level on
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Whatever the market you are trading, either as an investor or as a speculator, having a view on the US dollar is key to longer term trading success, which is where the USD index steps in. The US dollar is the currency of first reserve and underpins all the principle capital markets, and the dollar
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Gold bugs are once again happy this week, and the recent breakout for gold continues to signal further bullish momentum, with spot gold just failing to touch a high of $1700 per ounce this week for the first time since March, and finally closing the week at $1691.18. Gold futures ofcourse reflected this bullish momentum,
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The recent bullish sentiment for the AUD/USD on the daily chart, appears to have run out of steam in the last few days, with the Hawkeye trend dots flattening in the 1.0600 region, and subsequently moving into a short period of sideways consolidation. The bearish tone that is now evident was also firmly signaled with
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Following several weeks of sideways consolidation the GBP/USD has now finally broken out this area of price congestion on the daily chart, and now looks set to move firmly higher in the next few weeks. To the downside, the support level was clearly defined at the 1.5400 region whilst to the up side, 1.5700 region
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Trading success in the Forex market depends on several factors, but staying in the trend to maximize the profit available is perhaps the most important, and this is where most traders fail. Staying in a trend requires discipline and the ability to manage the fear that we all have when a potential profit is on
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Last week was the worst Thanksgiving week on Wall Street since 1941. Traders and investors reeled from the problems in Europe, as well as the collapse of the US budget deficit talks. The S&P 500 fell almost 5% on the week, closing just below the key 1160 level. The Dow was also down almost 5%
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If there is one thing to say about the markets at the present, it is that they are deeply unpredictable. They swing dramatically from hope to fear and back again, catching both professional and retail traders alike. This type of market behavior inevitably leads to fear, frustration, and bad trading decisions which in turn can
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In this week’s video, Nigel Hawkes shows setups that he looks for in the Forex market. He shows how to take trades on a Forex pair with the least amount of risk while using the Hawkeye Fatman as a filter. Click on the image below to view this week’s video update: [evp_embed_video url=”http://evphosted-14d5bf6242eae0.s3.amazonaws.com/4102011-1.mp4″ preload=”auto” template=”mediaelement”
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In this must-see video, Nigel Hawkes demonstrates an invaluable setup for daily FX trading, showing how to apply the Hawkeye Fatman and Gearbox in the best way. Nigel also shows the course of the EMD trade after last Friday’s webinar closed. Click on the image below to view this week’s video update: We demonstrate the
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Nigel Hawkes warns against missing correct timing on trades and how to use the Hawkeye ChartTools, GearBox and GearChanger, at their full potential. Be sure to have the patience to wait for perfect setups. Think like a hunter and you will be trading for success. Click on the image below to view this week’s video
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Continuing the Hawkeye Traders Education Series Nigel Hawkes is a market leader and expert in volume spread analysis. Over the past 20 plus years he has studied and applied volume analysis to every market in every timeframe. What he has found is that when using volume and price together with the desired timeframe he can
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